By March 23, 2026, the world's energy sector is no longer steered by economic principles but is instead constrained by the unyielding rules of physical science. On that day, Brent crude futures underwent a dramatic collapse, falling more than 15% to an intraday bottom of $96 per barrel following President Donald Trump's announcement of a five-day delay in his threat to attack Iranian power facilities. Trump asserted that constructive negotiations were in progress—a statement Iran promptly refuted—leading prices to rebound sharply above $100. Deepening the crisis, International Energy Agency head Fatih Birol recently cautioned that the present shortfall of 11 million barrels each day exceeds the combined impact of the two oil shocks in the 1970s.
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